CBI survey confirms manufacturing deterioration

A NEW study by the CBI has underlined the slowdown in the UK manufacturing sector.

In its latest Industrial Trends Survey the business organisation said UK manufacturers had reported a deterioration in both their total and export order books in August, while expectations for output growth had flattened.

The findings will come as little surprise to those involved in the sector and bear out the conclusions of similar studies completed in recent weeks.

Of the 456 manufacturers responding to the latest monthly ITS, 15% reported that order books were above normal, while 36% stated order levels were below normal. The balance of -21% represents the lowest return since the end of last year (December -23%).

Similarly, export orders have weakened with manufacturers reporting a balance of -17%. While still above the long-run average of -21%, this is the lowest figure reported since January 2012 (-26%).

Prospects for manufacturers’ output growth over the course of the next three months have also softened. Output is expected to be flat over the next three months (0%), following two previous surveys in which manufacturers expected output to increase (June +7%, July +11%).

Output prices are also expected to be flat over the coming quarter for the third-consecutive month, with a balance of +1%.

Stock levels are reported to be below average, with a balance of +9% saying stocks are at least adequate to meet demand, the lowest figure since June 2011 (+3%).
 
Anna Leach, CBI Head of Economic Analysis, said: “Overall demand for manufactured goods has eased back this month, led by a weakening in the consumer goods sector following a strong July figure.

“This sector also contributed to the weakening in output expectations for the next three months, alongside investment goods.

“The economic environment for UK manufacturers remains challenging, with domestic demand relatively muted and the ongoing Eurozone crisis now seeming to drag on broader global economic momentum.”